Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.998212 1.133235 1.280338 1.452593 1.648898 1.865793 2.123823
2025-12-28 0.805090 0.992207 1.213801 1.496010 1.846527 2.268456 2.816263
2026-01-04 0.669776 0.873371 1.128740 1.473428 1.927954 2.508825 3.310753
2026-01-11 0.596889 0.815089 1.101961 1.508130 2.070833 2.826461 3.924265
2026-01-18 0.531720 0.755454 1.061750 1.513680 2.167105 3.083081 4.474311
2026-01-25 0.471817 0.694279 1.009952 1.493107 2.218773 3.275805 4.946468
2026-02-01 0.418639 0.635869 0.954280 1.458102 2.241439 3.423062 5.359803
2026-02-08 0.373723 0.584427 0.902626 1.421789 2.255190 3.553669 5.755003
2026-02-15 0.346750 0.557413 0.884677 1.434410 2.344135 3.805938 6.365409
2026-02-22 0.319138 0.526388 0.856957 1.427565 2.399115 4.006102 6.906430
2026-03-01 0.292528 0.494288 0.824177 1.408400 2.430212 4.167178 7.393438
2026-03-08 0.262910 0.454340 0.774653 1.355657 2.397681 4.214934 7.682517
2026-03-15 0.238908 0.424113 0.742700 1.337406 2.436676 4.413754 8.310955
2026-03-22 0.225790 0.412176 0.742150 1.376815 2.587486 4.836227 9.422600
2026-03-29 0.205533 0.384964 0.711151 1.356097 2.622742 5.046738 10.149521
2026-04-05 0.194648 0.373904 0.708373 1.387947 2.761543 5.468995 11.350183
2026-04-12 0.181548 0.357147 0.692953 1.393040 2.847193 5.794890 12.391966
2026-04-19 0.167079 0.336166 0.667129 1.374159 2.881202 6.018576 13.242672
2026-04-26 0.152728 0.313945 0.636574 1.342030 2.883336 6.174883 13.963477
2026-05-03 0.139746 0.293236 0.607019 1.308698 2.878750 6.315315 14.664645
2026-05-10 0.132241 0.283283 0.598745 1.320284 2.974039 6.684944 15.944774
2026-05-17 0.123806 0.270495 0.583190 1.314001 3.027987 6.966823 17.050743
2026-05-24 0.115184 0.256459 0.563580 1.296408 3.053603 7.185577 18.029196